Viendo archivo del lunes, 25 septiembre 2006
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2006 Sep 25 2204 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 268 Publicado el 2200Z a las 25 Sep 2006IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 24-2100Z hasta 25-2100Z Solar activity was very low. Region 910 (S08W46) has
decayed to a plage region with no spots visible in white light
imagery. Updated LASCO imagery shows a CME originating from behind
the NE limb on 23 Sep. A slow CME was also observed from Region 910
on 24 Sep. Neither event is expected to be geoeffective.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 24-2100Z a 25-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been quiet to unsettled. Solar wind speed
remains elevated (currently 525 km/s) due to a coronal hole high
speed stream. The speed has, however, been steadily decreasing the
past 24 hours as the coronal hole rotates into a less geoeffective
position. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux reached high levels
today.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled for the forecast period (26 - 28
Sep).
III. Probabilidades del evento 26 Sep a 28 Sep
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 25 Sep 070 Previsto 26 Sep-28 Sep 070/080/075 Media de 90 Días 25 Sep 077
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 24 Sep 015/023 Estimado Afr/Ap 25 Sep 006/008 Previsto Afr/Ap 26 Sep-28 Sep 005/008-006/008-008/012
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 26 Sep a 28 Sep
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
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