Viendo archivo del lunes, 4 septiembre 2006
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2006 Sep 04 2203 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 247 Publicado el 2200Z a las 04 Sep 2006IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 03-2100Z hasta 04-2100Z Solar activity was very low. A CME was observed on the
Muana Loa coronagraph at 04/1701 UTC likely associated with a long
duration B2.8 flare on the west limb. This CME is not expected to be
geoeffective. No new regions were numbered today.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 03-2100Z a 04-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at quiet to major storm levels. A major
storm period was observed between 04/0300 - 0600 UTC due to the
effects of a coronal hole high speed stream. Solar wind speed at ACE
increased from approximately 410 km/s to 630 km/s.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be unsettled to active with minor storm periods possible
due to the continued effects from the coronal hole high speed stream
on 05 September. Quiet to unsettled conditions are expected on 06
and 07 September.
III. Probabilidades del evento 05 Sep a 07 Sep
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 04 Sep 079 Previsto 05 Sep-07 Sep 080/080/080 Media de 90 Días 04 Sep 077
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 03 Sep 006/006 Estimado Afr/Ap 04 Sep 018/020 Previsto Afr/Ap 05 Sep-07 Sep 010/012-006/008-004/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 05 Sep a 07 Sep
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 15% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 20% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 10% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 01% | 01% |
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