Viendo archivo del viernes, 7 julio 2006
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2006 Jul 07 2203 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 188 Publicado el 2200Z a las 07 Jul 2006IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 06-2100Z hasta 07-2100Z Solar activity has been low with two C-class flares
from Region 898 (S06W55). Region 899 (S05E40) was quiet and stable.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low,
although there is a slight chance of an isolated M-class flare.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 06-2100Z a 07-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet. The solar wind speed remains
elevated due to a coronal hole high speed stream but has steadily
declined during the past 24 hours. Enhancement of 10 MeV protons
continues but has been steadily declining. The greater than 2 MeV
electron flux reached high levels during the past 24 hours.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet for July 8, then active on July 9 with a
chance for minor storm periods due to the arrival of the flank of
the July 6 CME. Unsettled to active conditions due to persistence
are expected for July 10.
III. Probabilidades del evento 08 Jul a 10 Jul
| Clase M | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 07 Jul 080 Previsto 08 Jul-10 Jul 080/080/080 Media de 90 Días 07 Jul 081
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 06 Jul 007/011 Estimado Afr/Ap 07 Jul 007/007 Previsto Afr/Ap 08 Jul-10 Jul 007/010-020/025-015/015
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 08 Jul a 10 Jul
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 35% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 25% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 20% | 10% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 35% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 30% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 10% | 25% | 05% |
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