Viendo archivo del jueves, 15 junio 2006
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2006 Jun 15 2203 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 166 Publicado el 2200Z a las 15 Jun 2006IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 14-2100Z hasta 15-2100Z Solar activity was low. Region 892 (S06W85) produced
two C-class flares; a C2.6 at 15/0431 UTC and a C1.4 at 15/0823 UTC.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low to low.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 14-2100Z a 15-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at quiet to major storm conditions. Major
storm periods were observed between 15/0600 - 0900 UTC and 15/0900 -
1200 UTC. Activity was due to the effects from a recurrent coronal
hole high speed stream. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at
geosynchronous orbit reached high levels today.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled with isolated active periods
possible on 16 June. On 17 and 18 June, quiet to unsettled
conditions are expected.
III. Probabilidades del evento 16 Jun a 18 Jun
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 15 Jun 076 Previsto 16 Jun-18 Jun 075/075/080 Media de 90 Días 15 Jun 081
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 14 Jun 006/007 Estimado Afr/Ap 15 Jun 020/025 Previsto Afr/Ap 16 Jun-18 Jun 010/015-005/008-005/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 16 Jun a 18 Jun
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 01% | 01% |
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