Viendo archivo del sábado, 6 mayo 2006
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2006 May 06 2203 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 126 Publicado el 2200Z a las 06 May 2006IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 05-2100Z hasta 06-2100Z Solar activity remained at very low levels. Activity
was limited to minor B-class flares. Region 881 (S12E68) has fully
rotated onto the visible disk and is a simply structured beta
complex. Region 882 (S12W19) was numbered today.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be at
very to low levels. There is a chance that Regions 881 and 882
could produce an isolated C-class flare,
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 05-2100Z a 06-2100Z
The geomagnetic field ranged from quiet to minor storm levels. The
elevated conditions are due a favorably positioned recurrent coronal
hole which became geoeffective near 06/1530Z.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at predominantly unsettled to active levels.
Isolated minor storm conditions are possible on 07 and 08 May due to
coronal hole high speed stream effects. A return to quiet to
unsettled condition are expected on 09 May as the coronal hole
wanes.
III. Probabilidades del evento 07 May a 09 May
| Clase M | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 06 May 087 Previsto 07 May-09 May 085/085/080 Media de 90 Días 06 May 082
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 05 May 008/013 Estimado Afr/Ap 06 May 016/025 Previsto Afr/Ap 07 May-09 May 020/030-012/020-005/012
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 07 May a 09 May
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 40% | 25% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 15% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 10% | 05% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 45% | 40% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 30% | 20% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 15% | 10% | 05% |
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