Viendo archivo del lunes, 10 abril 2006
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2006 Apr 10 2203 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 100 Publicado el 2200Z a las 10 Apr 2006IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 09-2100Z hasta 10-2100Z Solar activity was very low. Newly numbered Region 870
(S08E21) produced a B8 flare at 10/1934Z. New Region 871 (S08E52)
was also numbered today. A CME observed off the west limb at
09/2230Z is not expected to be geoeffective.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to continue
at very low levels.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 09-2100Z a 10-2100Z
The geomagnetic field ranged from quiet to minor storm levels. The
high speed solar wind stream that began late on 08 April remains in
effect. Solar wind speed is at 600 km/s, but is in decline. The
greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous was at high
levels today.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled with isolated active periods on
11 April.
III. Probabilidades del evento 11 Apr a 13 Apr
| Clase M | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 10 Apr 089 Previsto 11 Apr-13 Apr 085/085/085 Media de 90 Días 10 Apr 080
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 09 Apr 027/039 Estimado Afr/Ap 10 Apr 015/025 Previsto Afr/Ap 11 Apr-13 Apr 010/020-005/010-005/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 11 Apr a 13 Apr
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 01% | 01% |
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