Viendo archivo del jueves, 16 febrero 2006
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2006 Feb 16 2203 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 047 Publicado el 2200Z a las 16 Feb 2006IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 15-2100Z hasta 16-2100Z Solar activity remains at very low levels. Developing
Region 854 (S07E10) appears to have stabilized as a small D-type
sunspot group with very little flare potential. A prominence erupted
early in the period off the southwest limb near S38, but no
geomagnetic response is expected. New Region 855 (N06E28) was
numbered today.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to continue
at very low levels.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 15-2100Z a 16-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled with isolated active
conditions during the first half of the period. Solar wind speed was
elevated to near 600 km/s, but declined to near 450 km/s by the end
of the period.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled on 17 and 18 Feb. A coronal hole
high speed stream is expected to rotate into a geoeffective position
on 19 February and produce occasional active periods.
III. Probabilidades del evento 17 Feb a 19 Feb
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 16 Feb 079 Previsto 17 Feb-19 Feb 080/080/080 Media de 90 Días 16 Feb 085
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 15 Feb 007/012 Estimado Afr/Ap 16 Feb 010/010 Previsto Afr/Ap 17 Feb-19 Feb 005/005-005/005-010/012
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 17 Feb a 19 Feb
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 20% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 05% |
< < Ir a la visión general diaria
Últimas noticias
domingo, 12 mayo 2024
Small CME impact, Record visitor amount
sábado, 11 mayo 2024
Strongest geomagnetic storm since 2003, X5.8 solar flare
sábado, 11 mayo 2024
Extreme G5 geomagnetic storm
Últimos mensajes del foro
May 2024 Geomagnetic Storms from AR 13664 (2) 253Solar wind near 1000 kilometers per second?! 6Anomaly.. 13Alternate Community Pages 5Cycle 25 2
Más temasApoye a SpaceWeatherLive.com!
Mucha gente viene a SpaceWeatherLive para seguir la actividad del Sol o previsión de aurora, pero con esta cantidad de tráfico se incrementan los costos del servidor. ¡Considere hacer una donación si disfruta de SpaceWeatherLive para que podamos mantener el sitio web en línea!
Hechos clima espacial
| Último evento clase X | 2024/05/11 | X1.5 |
| Último evento clase M | 2024/05/12 | X0.9 |
| Últimas tormentas geomagnéticas | 2024/05/11 | Kp9 (G5) |
| Días sin manchas | |
|---|---|
| Último día sin manchas | 2022/06/08 |
| Promedio de manchas solares mensuales | |
|---|---|
| abril 2024 | 136.5 +31.6 |
| mayo 2024 | 140.5 +4 |
| Last 30 days | 172.8 +81.3 |