Viendo archivo del lunes, 23 enero 2006
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2006 Jan 23 2203 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 023 Publicado el 2200Z a las 23 Jan 2006IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 22-2100Z hasta 23-2100Z Solar activity remained at low levels today. Region
848 (S19W28) produced multiple B and C-class flares during the
period. The magnetic delta spot seen yesterday has decayed and the
sunspot group is now classified a beta-gamma. Region 850 (N06W05)
was numbered today.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be at
very low to low levels. Region 848 remains capable of producing an
isolated C-class flare.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 22-2100Z a 23-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at quiet to active levels. An isolated
period of minor storming occurred at the Boulder magnetometer
between 23/0900 and 1200Z. The elevated conditions are due to a
recurrent high speed coronal hole stream. The solar wind speeds
increased from near 400 km/sec to over 600 km/sec, between 23/0600
and 1200Z.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at predominantly unsettled levels. Isolated active
periods are possible on 24 and 25 January due to the coronal hole
high speed stream. A return to quiet to unsettled levels is expected
on 25 January as the coronal hole moves out of geoeffective
position.
III. Probabilidades del evento 24 Jan a 26 Jan
| Clase M | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 23 Jan 092 Previsto 24 Jan-26 Jan 090/090/090 Media de 90 Días 23 Jan 086
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 22 Jan 004/006 Estimado Afr/Ap 23 Jan 012/015 Previsto Afr/Ap 24 Jan-26 Jan 012/015-008/012-005/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 24 Jan a 26 Jan
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 20% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 05% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 35% | 30% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 10% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 10% | 05% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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