Viendo archivo del jueves, 19 enero 2006
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2006 Jan 19 2204 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 019 Publicado el 2200Z a las 19 Jan 2006IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 18-2100Z hasta 19-2100Z Solar activity was very low. A large filament eruption
and associated CME was observed off the SE limb today at about
19/1300Z. The CME does not appear to be Earth directed. Region 848
(S19E24) continues in a slow growth phase, and was responsible for
some low B-class activity.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low to low. There is a chance for a C-class flare from Region 848.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 18-2100Z a 19-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to continue at quiet to unsettled levels.
III. Probabilidades del evento 20 Jan a 22 Jan
| Clase M | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 19 Jan 089 Previsto 20 Jan-22 Jan 090/090/090 Media de 90 Días 19 Jan 085
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 18 Jan 009/005 Estimado Afr/Ap 19 Jan 005/005 Previsto Afr/Ap 20 Jan-22 Jan 005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 20 Jan a 22 Jan
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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