Viendo archivo del jueves, 5 enero 2006
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2006 Jan 05 2204 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 005 Publicado el 2200Z a las 05 Jan 2006IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 04-2100Z hasta 05-2100Z Solar activity was low. Region 843 (N12W64) produced an
impulsive C4/Sf flare at 0923 UTC. There was a Type II sweep
(estimated shock speed approx. 1100 km/s) associated with the flare.
This event followed soon after a long duration B8 x-ray flare from
nearby Region 841 (N13W91) which attained maximum at 0742 UTC. The
activity was preceded by plage brightenings in both regions.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low to low. Region 843 could produce an isolated C-class flare.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 04-2100Z a 05-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux
at geosynchronous orbit was high.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled. A high speed solar wind stream
may boost activity slightly during the last two days of the period.
III. Probabilidades del evento 06 Jan a 08 Jan
| Clase M | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 05 Jan 083 Previsto 06 Jan-08 Jan 080/080/080 Media de 90 Días 05 Jan 085
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 04 Jan 001/002 Estimado Afr/Ap 05 Jan 004/004 Previsto Afr/Ap 06 Jan-08 Jan 005/005-005/008-005/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 06 Jan a 08 Jan
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
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