Viendo archivo del lunes, 28 noviembre 2005
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2005 Nov 28 2204 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 332 Publicado el 2200Z a las 28 Nov 2005IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 27-2100Z hasta 28-2100Z Solar activity was at very low levels. A long duration
B2 x-ray enhancement was associated with a small eruption in Region
824 (S14W35) at around 28/0830Z. An associated CME was observed on
LASCO imagery at 28/0954Z; however, the CME was slow and mostly
westward directed, and is therefore unlikely to be geoeffective. One
of at least two new regions rotating into view on the east limb was
numbered today as Region 826 (S02E62).
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to continue
at very low levels. There is a slight chance of a C-class flare.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 27-2100Z a 28-2100Z
The geomagnetic field ranged from quiet to unsettled with isolated
active periods.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to continue at quiet to unsettled levels with isolated
active periods on 29 November. Minor storm periods with high
latitude major storm periods are possible on 30 November and 01
December as a recurrent coronal hole rotates into a geoeffective
position.
III. Probabilidades del evento 29 Nov a 01 Dec
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 28 Nov 082 Previsto 29 Nov-01 Dec 080/080/080 Media de 90 Días 28 Nov 084
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 27 Nov 002/002 Estimado Afr/Ap 28 Nov 008/012 Previsto Afr/Ap 29 Nov-01 Dec 008/010-012/015-015/020
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 29 Nov a 01 Dec
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 25% | 35% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 10% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 35% | 40% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 20% | 30% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 10% | 15% |
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