Viendo archivo del martes, 15 noviembre 2005
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2005 Nov 15 2204 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 319 Publicado el 2200Z a las 15 Nov 2005 IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 14/2100Z to 15/2100Z: Solar activity was moderate. Region 822 (S08E41) produced two M-class flares, an M1.0 at 2200Z and an M1.4 at 1751Z, along with numerous C- and B-class flares. Region 822 continued to grow, albeit at a slower pace. The region has retained its beta-gamma magnetic configuration. The remainder of the disk continues to be spotless.IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be
moderate.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 14-2100Z a 15-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was mostly quiet to unsettled.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be predominantly unsettled for 16 November, with a
chance for isolated active periods. The elevated levels are
expected due to a sector boundary crossing and a favorably
positioned coronal hole. Unsettled levels are expected for 17-18
November.
III. Probabilidades del evento 16 Nov a 18 Nov
| Clase M | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Clase X | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Protón | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 15 Nov 100 Previsto 16 Nov-18 Nov 105/105/105 Media de 90 Días 15 Nov 085
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 14 Nov 007/010 Estimado Afr/Ap 15 Nov 009/010 Previsto Afr/Ap 16 Nov-18 Nov 010/010-008/008-008/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 16 Nov a 18 Nov
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 25% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 25% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 10% | 05% | 05% |
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