Viendo archivo del lunes, 6 junio 2005
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2005 Jun 06 2210 UTC# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, #Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force. #
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 157 Publicado el 2200Z a las 06 Jun 2005IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 05-2100Z hasta 06-2100Z Solar activity was low. Today's activity consisted of a
few, low-level C-class flares. The activity was shared between
Region 772 (S18W30) and Region 776 (S05E61). Region 776 is currently
the largest group on the disk with an area 300 millionths in an
E-type configuration.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low
for the next three days. There is, however, a slight chance for an
isolated M-class event from either Region 772 or Region 776.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 05-2100Z a 06-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was unsettled to quiet during the past 24
hours. Conditions began at unsettled levels but have been quiet
since 0900 UTC. This is consistent with the solar wind data which
indicate the end of the high speed stream, beginning at 0600 UTC
with a steady decline in velocity. The greater than 2 MeV electron
flux reached high levels during the past 24 hours.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be unsettled with a chance for isolated active periods
at high latitudes for the next 24 hours (7 June). Conditions should
be predominantly unsettled for the 2nd and 3rd days (8-9 June).
III. Probabilidades del evento 07 Jun a 09 Jun
| Clase M | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Clase X | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Protón | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 06 Jun 106 Previsto 07 Jun-09 Jun 110/110/110 Media de 90 Días 06 Jun 093
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 05 Jun 014/020 Estimado Afr/Ap 06 Jun 007/010 Previsto Afr/Ap 07 Jun-09 Jun 010/018-010/015-010/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 07 Jun a 09 Jun
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 25% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
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