Viendo archivo del viernes, 3 junio 2005
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2005 Jun 03 2210 UTC# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, #Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force. #
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 154 Publicado el 2200Z a las 03 Jun 2005IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 02-2100Z hasta 03-2100Z Solar activity was moderate. Region 772 (S17E09)
produced an M1.3/1b flare at 0411 UTC with associated Type II radio
sweep (571 km/s). There was also an M1.0 flare from the NE limb at
1226 UTC. A powerful CME with a speed of over 1500 km/s was
observed on LASCO imagery following this flare. A strong post-flare
loop system was also visible on the east limb near N15. This flare
originated from a region around the limb not yet numbered.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low
with a chance for moderate levels. C-class activity is expected
from Region 772. Isolated M-class flares are possible.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 02-2100Z a 03-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled. The greater than 2 MeV
electron flux at geosynchronous orbit was high again today.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be unsettled through 05 June. A CME from today's M1
flare in Region 772 may create occasional active periods on 05 and
06 June.
III. Probabilidades del evento 04 Jun a 06 Jun
| Clase M | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Clase X | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Protón | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 03 Jun 095 Previsto 04 Jun-06 Jun 095/100/105 Media de 90 Días 03 Jun 093
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 02 Jun 007/007 Estimado Afr/Ap 03 Jun 010/010 Previsto Afr/Ap 04 Jun-06 Jun 010/010-015/015-015/020
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 04 Jun a 06 Jun
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 25% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 30% | 35% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 15% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 10% |
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