Viendo archivo del miércoles, 1 junio 2005
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2005 Jun 01 2210 UTC# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, #Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force. #
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 152 Publicado el 2200Z a las 01 Jun 2005IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 31-2100Z hasta 01-2100Z Solar activity was moderate. Region 772 (S18E36)
produced an M1 x-ray flare at 0243 UTC with associated type II
sweep. The region generated numerous C-class events during the day
as well. Data indicate a modest degree of magnetic complexity and
growth in white light. Elsewhere, new region 773 (S12E76) rotated
into view with mature leader and follower spots.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low.
Region 772 should continue to produce C-class activity with an
isolated M-class flare possible.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 31-2100Z a 01-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled. The energetic electron
flux at geosynchronous orbit was high again today.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be unsettled through 04 June.
III. Probabilidades del evento 02 Jun a 04 Jun
| Clase M | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 01 Jun 094 Previsto 02 Jun-04 Jun 095/095/090 Media de 90 Días 01 Jun 092
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 31 May 010/017 Estimado Afr/Ap 01 Jun 010/010 Previsto Afr/Ap 02 Jun-04 Jun 010/010-010/015-010/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 02 Jun a 04 Jun
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 30% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
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