Viendo archivo del martes, 24 mayo 2005
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2005 May 24 2210 UTC# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, #Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force. #
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 144 Publicado el 2200Z a las 24 May 2005IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 23-2100Z hasta 24-2100Z Solar activity continued at very low levels. Region 767
(S08E40) is in a slow growth phase and produced occasional B-class
flares. Region 766 (N13E37), the only other sunspot group on the
visible disk, was stable.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to continue
at very low levels. There is a slight chance for a C-class flare
from Region 767.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 23-2100Z a 24-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet. Solar wind speed declined to below
400 km/s.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet with occasional unsettled periods on 25 and 26
May. A recurrent coronal hole high speed stream is expected to
rotate into geoeffective position on 27 May, and produce occasional
active periods.
III. Probabilidades del evento 25 May a 27 May
| Clase M | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 24 May 085 Previsto 25 May-27 May 085/085/085 Media de 90 Días 24 May 091
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 23 May 005/007 Estimado Afr/Ap 24 May 005/005 Previsto Afr/Ap 25 May-27 May 005/008-005/010-010/015
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 25 May a 27 May
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 20% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 25% | 40% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 10% |
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