Viendo archivo del jueves, 31 marzo 2005
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2005 Mar 31 2200 UTC# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, #Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force. #
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 090 Publicado el 2200Z a las 31 Mar 2005IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 30-2100Z hasta 31-2100Z Solar activity remains at very low levels. Regions 747
(S07E23) and 748 (N09E59) are both HSX alpha spot groups that were
numbered today. Region 745 (N11W80) continues a slow decay and is
now spotless.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to continue
at very low levels.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 30-2100Z a 31-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at quiet to unsettled levels. The greater
than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels
today.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels through 1 April.
Isolated minor storming conditions are expected late on 2 April due
to the onset of a recurrent coronal hole high speed stream and
should continue through 3 April.
III. Probabilidades del evento 01 Apr a 03 Apr
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 31 Mar 077 Previsto 01 Apr-03 Apr 080/085/085 Media de 90 Días 31 Mar 097
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 30 Mar 006/009 Estimado Afr/Ap 31 Mar 005/008 Previsto Afr/Ap 01 Apr-03 Apr 008/010-015/015-015/025
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 01 Apr a 03 Apr
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 30% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 05% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 30% | 40% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 10% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 05% | 10% |
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