Viendo archivo del martes, 8 marzo 2005
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2005 Mar 08 2210 UTC# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, #Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force. #
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 067 Publicado el 2200Z a las 08 Mar 2005IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 07-2100Z hasta 08-2100Z Solar activity was very low. The largest event of the
period was a B5.4 flare that occurred at 08/0309Z from Region 742
(S06E56). No new regions were numbered today.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low to low.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 07-2100Z a 08-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at unsettled to minor storm levels. Solar
wind speed at ACE increased to a maximum near 820 km/s at about
08/0810Z and declined to 700 km/s by the end of the reporting
period. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous
orbit reached high levels again today.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be unsettled to active with minor storm periods possible
at high latitudes on 09 March. On 10 March, conditions are expected
to be mostly unsettled as the coronal hole high speed stream rotates
out of a geoeffective position. On 11 March, conditions are
expected to be quiet to unsettled.
III. Probabilidades del evento 09 Mar a 11 Mar
| Clase M | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 08 Mar 094 Previsto 09 Mar-11 Mar 095/100/100 Media de 90 Días 08 Mar 097
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 07 Mar 028/042 Estimado Afr/Ap 08 Mar 015/025 Previsto Afr/Ap 09 Mar-11 Mar 012/020-008/015-005/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 09 Mar a 11 Mar
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 20% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 10% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 40% | 30% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 15% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 10% | 05% | 01% |
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