Viendo archivo del martes, 8 febrero 2005
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2005 Feb 08 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 039 Publicado el 2200Z a las 08 Feb 2005IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 07-2100Z hasta 08-2100Z Solar activity was low. The largest event of the
period was a C3.7 flare from Region 733 (S08E67) at 07/2244Z.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 07-2100Z a 08-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at unsettled to major storm levels. The
heightened activity was due to the effects of a high speed coronal
hole stream. Solar wind speed at ACE has been elevated at
approximately 700 km/s. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at
geosynchronous orbit reached high levels today.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be unsettled to active with isolated minor storm periods
possible due to the continued effects of a high speed coronal hole
stream throughout the period.
III. Probabilidades del evento 09 Feb a 11 Feb
| Clase M | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 08 Feb 108 Previsto 09 Feb-11 Feb 110/115/115 Media de 90 Días 08 Feb 105
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 07 Feb 019/023 Estimado Afr/Ap 08 Feb 018/030 Previsto Afr/Ap 09 Feb-11 Feb 012/020-010/012-012/012
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 09 Feb a 11 Feb
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 10% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 01% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 35% | 30% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 25% | 20% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 15% | 05% | 05% |
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