Viendo archivo del martes, 28 diciembre 2004

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2004 Dec 28 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 363 Publicado el 2200Z a las 28 Dec 2004

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 27-2100Z hasta 28-2100Z

Solar activity increased to low levels today. The plage field in Region 713 (S09W78) showed a significant increase in coverage along with the production of multiple C-class flares today, the largest was a C7/1f event that occurred at 28/0010Z. An increase in the sunspot area and an increase in the magnetic complexity were observed this period. Region 715 (N04E74) began to rotate into view and was numbered today. It is already exhibiting a large asymmetrical sunspot. This region was responsible for the C7/Sf event that occurred at 28/1801Z.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be at low levels.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 27-2100Z a 28-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at predominantly quiet to unsettled levels. An isolated active period was observed between 28/1800 and 2100Z, likely due to a sustained southward Bz which was observed by the ACE spacecraft.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at predominantly quiet to unsettled levels throughout the period.
III. Probabilidades del evento 29 Dec a 31 Dec
Clase M15%10%10%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       28 Dec 105
  Previsto   29 Dec-31 Dec  110/115/115
  Media de 90 Días        28 Dec 104
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 27 Dec  006/007
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 28 Dec  007/010
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 29 Dec-31 Dec  005/008-006/008-004/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 29 Dec a 31 Dec
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo15%15%15%
Tormenta Menor01%01%01%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo20%20%20%
Tormenta Menor05%05%05%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%

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