Viendo archivo del domingo, 21 noviembre 2004
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2004 Nov 21 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 326 Publicado el 2200Z a las 21 Nov 2004IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 20-2100Z hasta 21-2100Z Solar activity was very low. A Region on the East limb
at S16 produced a B5.4 flare at 21/1656 UTC. No new regions were
numbered today.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low to low.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 20-2100Z a 21-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at quiet to minor storm levels. Elevated
levels were due to the lingering presence of a high speed coronal
hole stream. At approximately 21/0000 UTC, solar wind speed
increased to an estimated 640 km/s and has gradually declined to 590
km/s as of the end of the summary period.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled with the possibility of isolated
active periods.
III. Probabilidades del evento 22 Nov a 24 Nov
| Clase M | 05% | 10% | 10% |
| Clase X | 01% | 05% | 05% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 21 Nov 101 Previsto 22 Nov-24 Nov 100/105/110 Media de 90 Días 21 Nov 106
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 20 Nov 012/018 Estimado Afr/Ap 21 Nov 011/018 Previsto Afr/Ap 22 Nov-24 Nov 008/015-004/010-004/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 22 Nov a 24 Nov
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
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