Viendo archivo del martes, 16 noviembre 2004
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2004 Nov 16 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 321 Publicado el 2200Z a las 16 Nov 2004IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 15-2100Z hasta 16-2100Z Solar activity was at low levels today. Region 700
(N04W67) was limited to the production of lesser B and C-class
flares this period, the largest was a C1.4/Sf event that occurred at
16/0013Z. Sunspot area continues to grow as dominant penumbral
spots in both polarities increase in size. The beta-gamma magnetic
structure remains intact. A CME was observed by SOHO/LASCO imagery
on the northeast solar limb which appears to have been from a
back-sided source region. No new regions were numbered today.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be at
low levels.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 15-2100Z a 16-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at quiet to unsettled levels. The greater
than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels
again today. The greater than 10 MeV proton flux at geosynchronous
orbit continues settling to background levels from the event that
ended on 13 November.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at quiet to unsettled throughout the period.
III. Probabilidades del evento 17 Nov a 19 Nov
| Clase M | 10% | 10% | 05% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 16 Nov 108 Previsto 17 Nov-19 Nov 115/120/125 Media de 90 Días 16 Nov 107
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 15 Nov 002/003 Estimado Afr/Ap 16 Nov 005/007 Previsto Afr/Ap 17 Nov-19 Nov 004/008-004/008-002/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 17 Nov a 19 Nov
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
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