Viendo archivo del jueves, 4 noviembre 2004

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2004 Nov 04 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 309 Publicado el 2200Z a las 04 Nov 2004

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 03-2100Z hasta 04-2100Z

Solar activity decreased to low levels today. The largest flare of the period was a long duration C6/Sf that occurred at 04/0905Z from Region 696 (N09E19). There was an associated Tenflare (210 sfu's) and a Type IV spectral radio sweep. A partial halo CME was also seen in SOHO/LASCO imagery shortly following this event which appears to have the potential of becoming geoeffective. There was a doubling of the sunspot area coverage and a magnetic delta structure is now visible in the trailing portion of the spot cluster. Region 693 (S15W31) remains impressive in appearance, although there were no recorded flares and some decay was observed during the day. There remains a weak delta structure in the trailing portion of the sunspot complex. Region 691 (N13W94) produced B and C class flares as this region exited the solar west limb. No new regions were numbered today.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be at moderate levels. Region 693 and 696 are both capable of producing an isolated major flare activity.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 03-2100Z a 04-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at mostly quiet to unsettled levels today. There was one active period at high latitudes occurring between 03/2100 and 2400Z.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be predominantly quiet to unsettled on 05 November. On 06 November the field is expected to see minor to major storming conditions due to the effects of the M5/Sn event that occurred yesterday producing a full halo CME from Region 696. A partial halo CME resulting from the long duration C6/Sf flare that occurred at 04/0905Z is expected to produce minor storming conditions late on the sixth, or early on 7 November.
III. Probabilidades del evento 05 Nov a 07 Nov
Clase M60%60%60%
Clase X20%20%20%
Protón20%20%20%
PCAFyellow
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       04 Nov 136
  Previsto   05 Nov-07 Nov  135/140/140
  Media de 90 Días        04 Nov 109
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 03 Nov  007/010
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 04 Nov  008/010
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 05 Nov-07 Nov  012/015-025/030-020/025
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 05 Nov a 07 Nov
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo25%40%40%
Tormenta Menor15%35%25%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa05%20%15%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo30%30%35%
Tormenta Menor15%45%40%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa05%20%15%

All times in UTC

< < Ir a la visión general diaria

Últimas noticias

Apoye a SpaceWeatherLive.com!

Mucha gente viene a SpaceWeatherLive para seguir la actividad del Sol o previsión de aurora, pero con esta cantidad de tráfico se incrementan los costos del servidor. ¡Considere hacer una donación si disfruta de SpaceWeatherLive para que podamos mantener el sitio web en línea!

62%
Apoya a SpaceWeatherLive con nuestro merchandise
Échale un ojo a nuestro merchandise

Hechos clima espacial

Último evento clase X2024/05/15X2.9
Último evento clase M2024/05/17M7.1
Últimas tormentas geomagnéticas2024/05/17Kp6 (G2)
Días sin manchas
Último día sin manchas2022/06/08
Promedio de manchas solares mensuales
abril 2024136.5 +31.6
mayo 2024157.7 +21.2
Last 30 days171.7 +57.7

Efemérides*

Llamarada solar
12022M5.6
22023M5.3
32023M2.7
42023M2.5
52023M2.32
ApG
1195233G2
2195326G1
3198422G1
4194319G1
5197515G1
*desde 1994

Redes sociales