Viendo archivo del domingo, 5 septiembre 2004
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2004 Sep 05 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 249 Publicado el 2200Z a las 05 Sep 2004IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 04-2100Z hasta 05-2100Z Solar activity has been very low. A 9 degree long
filament disappeared from N22W30 sometime after 04/1625 UTC and
before 05/0536 UTC. The SOHO/LASCO imagery observed filament
movement on EIT at 05/0512 UTC and a CME on C2 around 05/0654 UTC,
which seems to correspond with this event disappearance. At this
time the event appears to be directed away from the Earth. Two new
regions were numbered today as Region 669 (S06E35) and Region 670
(S14E34).
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low to low.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 04-2100Z a 05-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled. The solar wind has
undergone some changes in the past 24 hours. Shortly before 05/0600
UTC the IMF Bz started southward oscillations and a gradual increase
in velocity and temperature began.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled with isolated active conditions.
III. Probabilidades del evento 06 Sep a 08 Sep
| Clase M | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 05 Sep 103 Previsto 06 Sep-08 Sep 105/110/110 Media de 90 Días 05 Sep 110
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 04 Sep 002/004 Estimado Afr/Ap 05 Sep 008/008 Previsto Afr/Ap 06 Sep-08 Sep 008/008-008/010-008/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 06 Sep a 08 Sep
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
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