Viendo archivo del martes, 24 agosto 2004
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2004 Aug 25 0050 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 237 Publicado el 2200Z a las 24 Aug 2004IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 23-2100Z hasta 24-2100Z Solar activity was very low. A bright surge associated
with a B6 x-ray event was observed near S07 on the east limb at
24/1352Z. A CME was also observed in association with this event.
The likely source of this activity was old Region 655 (S09, L=177),
which is due to rotate into view tomorrow. All active regions on the
visible disk were stable or in decay. No other significant activity
was noted.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low to low. The new region rotating into view on the southeast limb
may boost activity levels.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 23-2100Z a 24-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was mostly quiet with isolated unsettled periods.
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit was at
high levels.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to remain at quiet to unsettled levels for the next three
days.
III. Probabilidades del evento 25 Aug a 27 Aug
| Clase M | 05% | 10% | 10% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 24 Aug 105 Previsto 25 Aug-27 Aug 105/105/105 Media de 90 Días 24 Aug 109
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 23 Aug 010/007 Estimado Afr/Ap 24 Aug 006/005 Previsto Afr/Ap 25 Aug-27 Aug 005/010-008/008-008/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 25 Aug a 27 Aug
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
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