Viendo archivo del miércoles, 7 julio 2004
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2004 Jul 07 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 189 Publicado el 2200Z a las 07 Jul 2004IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 06-2100Z hasta 07-2100Z Solar activity has been very low. Low level B-class
flares were observed during the last 24 hours. The largest event
was a B4/Sf at 07/1719 UTC from Region 641 (N15E12), which is now a
spotless region. The event was reported in H-alpha imagery as a
parallel ribbon flare with a small disappearing filament along the
regions inversion line. Several CME's were observed from the
SOHO/LASCO imagery during the period, none of which seem to be Earth
directed. A full halo CME was first observed in C2 at 06/2006 UTC.
All indications are that this was a backside event. This is the
second backside full halo event reported in the past 48 hours. A
new region was numbered today as Region 642 (S08E63).
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 06-2100Z a 07-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been quiet.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled.
III. Probabilidades del evento 08 Jul a 10 Jul
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 07 Jul 079 Previsto 08 Jul-10 Jul 080/085/090 Media de 90 Días 07 Jul 097
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 06 Jul 005/007 Estimado Afr/Ap 07 Jul 005/007 Previsto Afr/Ap 08 Jul-10 Jul 005/010-005/008-008/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 08 Jul a 10 Jul
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 10% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
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