Viendo archivo del viernes, 25 junio 2004
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2004 Jun 25 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 177 Publicado el 2200Z a las 25 Jun 2004IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 24-2100Z hasta 25-2100Z Solar activity has been low. Region 635 (S11W67)
produced a C2.5 flare at 25/1132 UTC. The region maintained a
beta-gamma-delta magnetic configuration while exhibiting gradual
decay. Region 634 (N12W88) continues to decay as well. No new
regions were numbered today.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low.
Region 635 may produce C-class and isolated M-class flares until it
passes behind the west limb on 27 June.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 24-2100Z a 25-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been quiet. A minor transient in the solar
wind was observed at ACE at approximately 1200 UTC, although with no
notable effect to the geomagnetic field.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled, with possible active conditions
on days two and three (27-28 June) as a coronal hole high speed
solar wind stream moves into geoeffective position.
III. Probabilidades del evento 26 Jun a 28 Jun
| Clase M | 40% | 35% | 10% |
| Clase X | 05% | 05% | 01% |
| Protón | 05% | 05% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 25 Jun 103 Previsto 26 Jun-28 Jun 095/095/090 Media de 90 Días 25 Jun 101
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 24 Jun 004/006 Estimado Afr/Ap 25 Jun 003/007 Previsto Afr/Ap 26 Jun-28 Jun 005/010-008/015-010/015
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 26 Jun a 28 Jun
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 30% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 35% | 35% | 35% |
| Tormenta Menor | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 10% | 10% |
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