Viendo archivo del jueves, 17 junio 2004
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2004 Jun 17 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 169 Publicado el 2200Z a las 17 Jun 2004IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 16-2100Z hasta 17-2100Z Solar activity was low. There was just one C-class
event during the past 24 hours, a C1/Sf at 0238 UTC from Region 634
(N12E20). Regions 634 and 635 (S11E38) continue to dominate the disk
with their size and are growing slowly, but remain relatively
stable.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low.
There is a slight chance, however, for an isolated M-class event
from either Region 634 or Region 635.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 16-2100Z a 17-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was mostly quiet with some isolated periods of
unsettled levels. The solar wind velocity remains slightly elevated
(450-550 km/s) but contains only weak magnetic fields (mostly
between -3 nT to +3 nT).
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled for the next three days.
III. Probabilidades del evento 18 Jun a 20 Jun
| Clase M | 30% | 30% | 30% |
| Clase X | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Protón | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 17 Jun 111 Previsto 18 Jun-20 Jun 110/110/110 Media de 90 Días 17 Jun 102
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 16 Jun 007/007 Estimado Afr/Ap 17 Jun 008/008 Previsto Afr/Ap 18 Jun-20 Jun 010/010-010/012-010/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 18 Jun a 20 Jun
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 30% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 30% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
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