Viendo archivo del martes, 8 junio 2004
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2004 Jun 08 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 160 Publicado el 2200Z a las 08 Jun 2004IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 07-2100Z hasta 08-2100Z Solar activity decreased to very low levels today.
Region 621 (S14W70) produced the largest flare of the period, a
B8/Sf flare that occurred at 08/1847Z. White light shows a pair of
umbra spots in an alpha magnetic configuration. Region 627 (S08W09)
underwent a slight growth in sunspot area during the period with no
flare production noted. No new regions were numbered today.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be at
very low to low levels. Regions 621 and 627 have the potential to
produce C-class events.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 07-2100Z a 08-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at quiet to unsettled levels.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at quiet to active levels. The anticipated arrival
of a shock resulting from the long duration C2 flare that occurred
on 7 June is expected no later than 10 June. Active conditions with
a chance of minor storm levels may be observed, especially at higher
latitudes, following the onset of the shock. 11 June will most
likely return to quiet to unsettled levels.
III. Probabilidades del evento 09 Jun a 11 Jun
| Clase M | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 08 Jun 086 Previsto 09 Jun-11 Jun 085/090/095 Media de 90 Días 08 Jun 103
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 07 Jun 007/008 Estimado Afr/Ap 08 Jun 006/010 Previsto Afr/Ap 09 Jun-11 Jun 010/015-012/015-010/012
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 09 Jun a 11 Jun
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 30% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 10% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 02% | 06% | 02% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 40% | 40% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 15% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 10% | 10% | 05% |
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