Viendo archivo del jueves, 13 mayo 2004
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2004 May 13 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 134 Publicado el 2200Z a las 13 May 2004IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 12-2100Z hasta 13-2100Z Solar activity was low. Region 609 (S03E24) produced
three C-class flares including a C7/Sf at 13/1330Z. This region
underwent rapid growth in the past 36 hours and now exhibits a
moderately complex beta-gamma configuration. CME activity was
observed off the east limb. New Regions 612 (N10E07) and 613
(S08E83) were numbered today.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to continue
at low levels. Region 609 will likely produce C-class activity and
may soon possess potential for M-class events.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 12-2100Z a 13-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was mostly quiet to unsettled with an isolated
active to minor storm period between 13/0600 - 0900Z. Occasional
periods of sustained southward IMF Bz account for the most disturbed
periods.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to active with isolated active periods.
III. Probabilidades del evento 14 May a 16 May
| Clase M | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Clase X | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 13 May 101 Previsto 14 May-16 May 105/110/115 Media de 90 Días 13 May 104
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 12 May 009/011 Estimado Afr/Ap 13 May 012/014 Previsto Afr/Ap 14 May-16 May 010/012-010/015-008/012
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 14 May a 16 May
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 25% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 15% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 35% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 20% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
< < Ir a la visión general diaria
Últimas noticias
sábado, 11 mayo 2024
Strongest geomagnetic storm since 2003, X5.8 solar flare
sábado, 11 mayo 2024
Extreme G5 geomagnetic storm
viernes, 10 mayo 2024
Severe G4 geomagnetic storm
Últimos mensajes del foro
May 2024 Geomagnetic Storms from AR 13664 (2) 101Incoming Active Regions 266AR3664 830Unproven theories 413suggestion for app additional feature 4
Más temasApoye a SpaceWeatherLive.com!
Mucha gente viene a SpaceWeatherLive para seguir la actividad del Sol o previsión de aurora, pero con esta cantidad de tráfico se incrementan los costos del servidor. ¡Considere hacer una donación si disfruta de SpaceWeatherLive para que podamos mantener el sitio web en línea!
Hechos clima espacial
| Último evento clase X | 2024/05/11 | X1.5 |
| Último evento clase M | 2024/05/12 | M2.3 |
| Últimas tormentas geomagnéticas | 2024/05/11 | Kp9 (G5) |
| Días sin manchas | |
|---|---|
| Último día sin manchas | 2022/06/08 |
| Promedio de manchas solares mensuales | |
|---|---|
| abril 2024 | 136.5 +31.6 |
| mayo 2024 | 140.5 +4 |
| Last 30 days | 172.8 +81.3 |