Viendo archivo del viernes, 30 abril 2004
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2004 Apr 30 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 121 Publicado el 2200Z a las 30 Apr 2004IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 29-2100Z hasta 30-2100Z Solar activity has been low. Newly numbered Region 602
(S14W53) generated a single C-class x-ray event on 30 April at 0547
UTC. Region 599 (N17W41) continues to decay in both area and number
of spots. Along with Region 602, Region 601 (S09W20) was newly
numbered today.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to remain
very low to low.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 29-2100Z a 30-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been at quiet to unsettled levels.
Portions of a solar wind transient associated with a C3.1 x-ray
event on 27 April likely elevated magnetic activity early on the
30th of April, but subsided to quiet levels by 1200 UTC.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet from 30 April through 02 May, rising to
unsettled by 03 May. A high speed solar wind stream associated with
a coronal hole is expected to impact the magnetic field by 03 May.
III. Probabilidades del evento 01 May a 03 May
| Clase M | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 30 Apr 089 Previsto 01 May-03 May 090/090/095 Media de 90 Días 30 Apr 107
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 29 Apr 003/004 Estimado Afr/Ap 30 Apr 008/009 Previsto Afr/Ap 01 May-03 May 008/012-010/015-015/020
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 01 May a 03 May
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 25% | 35% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 15% | 25% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 35% | 35% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 15% | 25% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 10% |
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