Viendo archivo del miércoles, 18 febrero 2004
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2004 Feb 18 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 049 Publicado el 2200Z a las 18 Feb 2004IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 17-2100Z hasta 18-2100Z Solar activity was at very low levels today. Spotless
active Region 556 (N15W80) produced the largest event during the
period, a B5 x-ray flare that occurred at 18/1708Z. Several lesser
B-class flares comprised the remainder of the recorded activity
today. No new regions were numbered today.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be at
very low levels.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 17-2100Z a 18-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at quiet to unsettled levels. The greater
than 2 MeV electron fluxes at geosynchronous orbit reached high
(neared very high) levels today.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at predominantly quiet to unsettled levels throughout
the period.
III. Probabilidades del evento 19 Feb a 21 Feb
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 18 Feb 098 Previsto 19 Feb-21 Feb 100/095/100 Media de 90 Días 18 Feb 119
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 17 Feb 004/005 Estimado Afr/Ap 18 Feb 004/008 Previsto Afr/Ap 19 Feb-21 Feb 008/008-008/008-008/012
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 19 Feb a 21 Feb
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 20% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 05% |
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