Viendo archivo del domingo, 8 junio 2003
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2003 Jun 08 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 159 Publicado el 2200Z a las 08 Jun 2003IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 07-2100Z hasta 08-2100Z Solar activity has been moderate. Region 380 (S15E56)
produced an M4/2n event at 08/1611 UTC. This region has produced
several C-class flares and shown significant growth since yesterday.
Region 375 (N13W18) continues to produce mid to high level C-class
flares and maintains its beta-gamma-delta magnetic configuration.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low
to moderate. Regions 375 and 380 have potential for producing an
isolated X-class event.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 07-2100Z a 08-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been at unsettled to minor storm
conditions. This activity seems to be the result of the expected
coronal hole high speed stream.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to remain at unsettled to active conditions for the three
days of the forecast period. The continued elevated solar wind
speeds are expected to produce isolated minor storm conditions
during local nighttime.
III. Probabilidades del evento 09 Jun a 11 Jun
| Clase M | 60% | 60% | 60% |
| Clase X | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Protón | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 08 Jun 153 Previsto 09 Jun-11 Jun 160/155/155 Media de 90 Días 08 Jun 122
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 07 Jun 026/024 Estimado Afr/Ap 08 Jun 020/025 Previsto Afr/Ap 09 Jun-11 Jun 020/025-020/025-015/025
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 09 Jun a 11 Jun
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 40% | 40% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 20% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 45% | 45% | 45% |
| Tormenta Menor | 30% | 30% | 30% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 10% | 10% | 10% |
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