Viendo archivo del martes, 1 abril 2003
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2003 Apr 01 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 091 Publicado el 2200Z a las 01 Apr 2003IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 31-2100Z hasta 01-2100Z Solar activity was at low levels. There were only two
C-class flares from Regions 323 (S08W43) and 318 (S12W65).
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low.
There is a small chance for an isolated M-Class flare from either
Region 323 (S08W43), Region 325 (N12E14), or Region 324 (S11W08).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 31-2100Z a 01-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at quiet to minor storm levels, with
occasional major storming at high latitudes. The high speed stream
that began early on 30 March continued during the period. The
greater than 2 MeV electrons at geosynchronous orbit reached high
levels.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels. The high speed stream
which has impacted earth for the previous two days will pass by day
two.
III. Probabilidades del evento 02 Apr a 04 Apr
| Clase M | 30% | 30% | 30% |
| Clase X | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 01 Apr 153 Previsto 02 Apr-04 Apr 155/150/145 Media de 90 Días 01 Apr 134
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 31 Mar 015/031 Estimado Afr/Ap 01 Apr 017/015 Previsto Afr/Ap 02 Apr-04 Apr 010/012-010/010-008/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 02 Apr a 04 Apr
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 40% | 30% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 45% | 30% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 10% | 05% | 05% |
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