Viendo archivo del sábado, 22 junio 2002
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2002 Jun 22 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 173 Publicado el 2200Z a las 22 Jun 2002IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 21-2100Z hasta 22-2100Z Solar activity was low during the past 24 hours.
Yesterday's C1 flare at 21/2020 UTC was associated with activity
behind the Southwest limb and with a limb CME. The CME does not
appear to have any earthward component. The only C-class event
during the past 24 hours was a C2/Sf at 0236 UTC from Region 5
(N13E00). This group showed some moderate growth during the past 24
hours. Region 8 (S09E26) remains the largest on the disk but was
quiet and stable. New regions 10 (S12E00) and 11 (S12E62) were
assigned today.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low
for the next three days.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 21-2100Z a 22-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled during the past 24
hours.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled for the next three days.
III. Probabilidades del evento 23 Jun a 25 Jun
| Clase M | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 22 Jun 142 Previsto 23 Jun-25 Jun 145/150/150 Media de 90 Días 22 Jun 175
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 21 Jun 005/008 Estimado Afr/Ap 22 Jun 007/010 Previsto Afr/Ap 23 Jun-25 Jun 010/012-007/010-007/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 23 Jun a 25 Jun
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 01% | 01% |
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