Viendo archivo del lunes, 25 febrero 2002
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2002 Feb 25 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 056 Publicado el 2200Z a las 25 Feb 2002IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 24-2100Z hasta 25-2100Z Solar activity was moderate due to an M1 flare which
occurred at 25/0257 UTC. No flare reports were received but SOHO
images suggest that Region 9830 (S18W79) was the source. This region
also produced several C-class subflares throughout the past day. It
remains the largest sunspot group on the disk but is rapidly
decaying. Regions 9842 (S19W36) and 9846 (S04W53) are growing.
Region 9846 also produced several C-class subflares. New Regions
9848 (S20E33) and 9849 (N23E69) were numbered.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low
to moderate. Region 9830 appears capable of an additional M-class
flare before it rotates around the west limb.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 24-2100Z a 25-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled.
III. Probabilidades del evento 26 Feb a 28 Feb
| Clase M | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Clase X | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Protón | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 25 Feb 211 Previsto 26 Feb-28 Feb 215/220/220 Media de 90 Días 25 Feb 223
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 24 Feb 004/004 Estimado Afr/Ap 25 Feb 007/005 Previsto Afr/Ap 26 Feb-28 Feb 007/005-007/007-010/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 26 Feb a 28 Feb
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
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