Viendo archivo del lunes, 10 septiembre 2001
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2001 Sep 10 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 253 Publicado el 2200Z a las 10 Sep 2001IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 09-2100Z hasta 10-2100Z Solar Activity was low. Five C-class flares occurred
during the period with the largest being a C8/1N at 10/0518 UT from
region 9608 (S27E07). This region continues to increase in area and
magnetic complexity. Region 9610 (S13E22) and 9611 (N10W64) have
increased in area. Region 9601 has rotated beyond the west limb
without significant activity.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be
moderate to high. Region 9608 and nearby neighboring regions have
the potential to produce isolated major flares.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 09-2100Z a 10-2100Z
Geomagnetic activity was at quiet to unsettled levels.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
Geomagnetic activity is
expected to be predominantly quiet, with the possibility of isolated
active conditions in response to coronal hole effects on day two and
three.
III. Probabilidades del evento 11 Sep a 13 Sep
| Clase M | 90% | 90% | 90% |
| Clase X | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Protón | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| PCAF | yellow | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 10 Sep 245 Previsto 11 Sep-13 Sep 245/245/235 Media de 90 Días 10 Sep 163
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 09 Sep 007/007 Estimado Afr/Ap 10 Sep 005/006 Previsto Afr/Ap 11 Sep-13 Sep 008/010-012/015-012/015
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 11 Sep a 13 Sep
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 30% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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