Viendo archivo del domingo, 26 agosto 2001
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2001 Aug 26 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 238 Publicado el 2200Z a las 26 Aug 2001IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 25-2100Z hasta 26-2100Z Solar activity has been moderate. The largest event
was an optically uncorrelated M1 observed at 26/1306 UTC. Region
9591 (S19E18) continued to produce C-class flares during the period.
This region maintains its large area (740 millionths) and a
beta-gamma-delta Fki configuration. New Region 9597 (N17E48) was
numbered today.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be
moderate. Region 9591 is capable of M-class events with potential
to produce a major flare.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 25-2100Z a 26-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been predominately quiet to unsettled.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be active to minor storm conditions on 27 and 28 August
as a result of the X5 event from 25 August. Major storm conditions
are possible at high latitudes. Unsettled to active conditions are
expected on 29 August.
III. Probabilidades del evento 27 Aug a 29 Aug
| Clase M | 75% | 75% | 75% |
| Clase X | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Protón | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 26 Aug 190 Previsto 27 Aug-29 Aug 195/200/200 Media de 90 Días 26 Aug 153
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 25 Aug 010/010 Estimado Afr/Ap 26 Aug 015/015 Previsto Afr/Ap 27 Aug-29 Aug 035/035-030/030-015/015
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 27 Aug a 29 Aug
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 40% | 35% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 30% | 20% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 20% | 10% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 45% | 40% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 35% | 25% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 20% | 15% | 05% |
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