Viendo archivo del lunes, 25 junio 2001
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2001 Jun 25 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 176 Publicado el 2200Z a las 25 Jun 2001IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 24-2100Z hasta 25-2100Z Solar activity was at low levels. The most active
regions were 9503 (N16W86) and 9517 (S15W59). Region 9503 produced
the largest event of the period, a C3/Sf at 25/0027 UTC. Newly
numbered Region 9517 produced two C1 flares during the period.
Regions 9512 (S24W23) and 9513 (N22E31) showed a continued increase
in spot count but have yet to produce any significant activity.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to continue
to be low.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 24-2100Z a 25-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at quiet to unsettled conditions. The
greater than 2 MeV electron flux reached high levels during the
period.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at quiet to unsettled conditions during the first day
of the period. Active conditions can be expected starting on the
second day of the period due to a favorably positioned coronal hole
and its resulting high speed stream impacting earth. The greater
than 2 MeV electron flux can be expected to reach high levels during
the forecast period.
III. Probabilidades del evento 26 Jun a 28 Jun
| Clase M | 40% | 30% | 30% |
| Clase X | 05% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 05% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 25 Jun 182 Previsto 26 Jun-28 Jun 175/170/165 Media de 90 Días 25 Jun 172
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 24 Jun 011/010 Estimado Afr/Ap 25 Jun 008/009 Previsto Afr/Ap 26 Jun-28 Jun 008/010-010/015-015/020
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 26 Jun a 28 Jun
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 20% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 25% | 35% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 15% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
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