Viendo archivo del domingo, 27 mayo 2001
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2001 May 27 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 147 Publicado el 2200Z a las 27 May 2001IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 26-2100Z hasta 27-2100Z Solar activity was very low. All disk regions have been
relatively inactive. Region 9463 (N08W51), the largest sunspot group
presently on the disk, and Region 9468 (N06W16) have decayed since
yesterday. New Regions 9476 (S22W68), 9477 (S16E20), and 9478
(N14E15) were numbered.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 26-2100Z a 27-2100Z
The geomagnetic field ranged from quiet to active levels. An SI was
observed at the Boulder ground magnetometer at 27/1456 UTC following
a shock observed in the solar wind at ACE at 27/1418 UTC. Timing of
the structure seems consistent with the M1/1N/Type II event which
occurred on 24 May.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled with an occasional active period
during the passage of the CME. Quiet to unsettled conditions are
expected for the remainder of the forecast period.
III. Probabilidades del evento 28 May a 30 May
| Clase M | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 27 May 147 Previsto 28 May-30 May 140/140/135 Media de 90 Días 27 May 169
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 26 May 006/008 Estimado Afr/Ap 27 May 012/015 Previsto Afr/Ap 28 May-30 May 010/012-008/010-008/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 28 May a 30 May
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
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