Viendo archivo del martes, 22 mayo 2001
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2001 May 22 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 142 Publicado el 2200Z a las 22 May 2001IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 21-2100Z hasta 22-2100Z Solar activity was very low. No significant activity of
note was observed. Region 9463 (N10E18), the largest active region
on the visible disk, is still undergoing some changes but exhibits
moderate complexity at best. Two new regions were numbered today -
9469 (N08W71) and 9470 (S15W19).
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low.
Region 9463 is the only region showing potential for an isolated
M-class flare.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 21-2100Z a 22-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled. The greater than 2 MeV
electron flux was at mostly moderate levels this period.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to active. Active periods are possible due to
high speed coronal hole effects and a possible glancing blow from a
CME observed on 20 May.
III. Probabilidades del evento 23 May a 25 May
| Clase M | 30% | 30% | 30% |
| Clase X | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Protón | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 22 May 152 Previsto 23 May-25 May 160/160/165 Media de 90 Días 22 May 168
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 21 May 003/008 Estimado Afr/Ap 22 May 005/010 Previsto Afr/Ap 23 May-25 May 015/018-010/012-010/018
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 23 May a 25 May
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 30% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 15% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
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