Viendo archivo del jueves, 26 abril 2001
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2001 Apr 26 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 116 Publicado el 2200Z a las 26 Apr 2001IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 25-2100Z hasta 26-2100Z Solar activity has been high. Region 9433 (N17W25)
produced an M7/2b flare at 26/1312 UTC. This event had an
associated 360 sfu 10 cm radio burst, Type II and Type IV radio
sweeps, and a full halo coronal mass ejection (CME) observed by the
SOHO/LASCO spacecraft. The region continues to maintain a complex
beta-gamma-delta magnetic configuration. Three new regions were
numbered today as Region 9440 (N07E18), 9441 (N08E51), and 9442
(N28E59).
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be
moderate to high. Isolated X-class flares are possible from Region
9433.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 25-2100Z a 26-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled for 27 and 28 April. Minor storm
conditions are possible on 29 April as a result of the CME activity
observed today.
III. Probabilidades del evento 27 Apr a 29 Apr
| Clase M | 80% | 80% | 80% |
| Clase X | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Protón | 30% | 20% | 20% |
| PCAF | yellow | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 26 Apr 196 Previsto 27 Apr-29 Apr 205/210/210 Media de 90 Días 26 Apr 167
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 25 Apr 007/007 Estimado Afr/Ap 26 Apr 010/010 Previsto Afr/Ap 27 Apr-29 Apr 010/010-010/010-040/040
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 27 Apr a 29 Apr
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 20% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 40% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 30% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 25% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 40% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 30% |
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