Viendo archivo del miércoles, 17 enero 2001
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2001 Jan 17 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 017 Publicado el 2200Z a las 17 Jan 2001IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 16-2100Z hasta 17-2100Z Solar activity has been at low levels. There are four
spotted regions on the disk, all in the northern hemisphere. The
largest, Region 9306 (N13W64), is decaying. Several class C X-ray
events have been recorded, but optical counterparts were not
reported. A type II followed by type IV radio sweep occurred at
17/0130UTC and appear to be related to activity on the Southeast
limb.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low
with a chance for an isolated M class event.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 16-2100Z a 17-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled. The field was basically
quiet until 17/1631UTC when a sudden impulse was observed. The
field has been unsettled since that time.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled.
III. Probabilidades del evento 18 Jan a 20 Jan
| Clase M | 50% | 30% | 20% |
| Clase X | 05% | 05% | 01% |
| Protón | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 17 Jan 152 Previsto 18 Jan-20 Jan 155/145/140 Media de 90 Días 17 Jan 175
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 16 Jan 004/006 Estimado Afr/Ap 17 Jan 006/010 Previsto Afr/Ap 18 Jan-20 Jan 005/010-005/007-005/007
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 18 Jan a 20 Jan
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
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