Viendo archivo del sábado, 6 enero 2001
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2001 Jan 06 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 006 Publicado el 2200Z a las 06 Jan 2001IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 05-2100Z hasta 06-2100Z Solar activity was low. A C3 x-ray event at 1520 UTC,
when both Regions 9302 (N19E52) and 9291 (S13W76) had Sf optical
flares, was the premier flare event of the period. Little else of
significance occurred, although another new region, 9303 (S04W47)
emerged. Currently there are twelve assigned regions visible, with
the possibility of more to come. There are reports of additional
groups coming fully into view at east limb.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low
to moderate. Regions 9302 and 9289 (S05W67) have potential for
M-class flares.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 05-2100Z a 06-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled. There was an
enhancement in the greater than 10 MeV protons at geosynchronous
orbit that began late on 05 January. These particles may be an
effect of a large halo CME directed away from earth seen by LASCO at
1706 UTC yesterday.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be unsettled through 09 January.
III. Probabilidades del evento 07 Jan a 09 Jan
| Clase M | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Clase X | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Protón | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 06 Jan 179 Previsto 07 Jan-09 Jan 180/175/180 Media de 90 Días 06 Jan 173
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 05 Jan 005/006 Estimado Afr/Ap 06 Jan 007/007 Previsto Afr/Ap 07 Jan-09 Jan 010/012-010/012-010/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 07 Jan a 09 Jan
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 30% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
All times in UTC
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