Viendo archivo del martes, 26 diciembre 2000
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2000 Dec 26 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 361 Publicado el 2200Z a las 26 Dec 2000IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 25-2100Z hasta 26-2100Z Solar activity has been moderate. Two new regions were
numbered today: 9288 (S21E26) and 9289 (S07E81). The latter
produced an M1/SF east limb event at 26/1613 UTC. Other activity
included several instances of low- and mid-level C-class activity,
most of which was optically uncorrelated, but with Region 9283
(S11E24) indicated by SOHO/EIT data as a likely source for some of
this activity. An active prominence on the southeast limb (S30E90)
was observed late in the period.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low
to moderate. Regions 9280 (N09W18), 9283, and 9289 all have
potential for isolated M-class activity.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 25-2100Z a 26-2100Z
The geomagnetic filed was quiet throughout the period.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled for the next three days.
III. Probabilidades del evento 27 Dec a 29 Dec
| Clase M | 35% | 35% | 35% |
| Clase X | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Protón | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 26 Dec 189 Previsto 27 Dec-29 Dec 190/185/175 Media de 90 Días 26 Dec 174
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 25 Dec 006/006 Estimado Afr/Ap 26 Dec 004/006 Previsto Afr/Ap 27 Dec-29 Dec 005/010-005/010-005/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 27 Dec a 29 Dec
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
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