Viendo archivo del viernes, 22 diciembre 2000
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2000 Dec 22 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 357 Publicado el 2200Z a las 22 Dec 2000IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 21-2100Z hasta 22-2100Z Solar activity remained at low levels. Region 9280
(N09E35) showed an increase in spot count and penumbral coverage.
This large, moderately complex region produced isolated, low-level
C-class subflares as it continued to gradually develop. No
significant changes were observed in the remaining regions. New
Region 9283 (S15E79) was numbered.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be
mostly low with a slight chance for an isolated M-class flare from
Region 9280.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 21-2100Z a 22-2100Z
Geomagnetic field activity was at mostly quiet levels.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
Geomagnetic field activity is
expected to increase to quiet to active levels during the first two
days of the forecast period due to coronal hole effects. Field
activity is expected to decrease to quiet to unsettled levels on the
third day as coronal hole effects subside.
III. Probabilidades del evento 23 Dec a 25 Dec
| Clase M | 35% | 35% | 35% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 22 Dec 190 Previsto 23 Dec-25 Dec 190/190/190 Media de 90 Días 22 Dec 175
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 21 Dec 005/005 Estimado Afr/Ap 22 Dec 005/007 Previsto Afr/Ap 23 Dec-25 Dec 015/015-015/015-012/012
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 23 Dec a 25 Dec
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 35% | 35% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 20% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 40% | 40% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 25% | 25% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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