Viendo archivo del jueves, 7 diciembre 2000
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2000 Dec 07 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 342 Publicado el 2200Z a las 07 Dec 2000IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 06-2100Z hasta 07-2100Z Solar activity has been moderate. The largest event
was an M1/Sf at 06/2230 UTC from Region 9246 (S11W62). This region
also produced two other optically correlated C-class events, and
other uncorrelated C-class activity also occurred. An LDE C5 flare
with an associated loop prominence was observed on the northwest
limb at 07/1940 UTC. The likely source of this activity is Region
9242 (L=N20) behind the west limb. Four new regions - all in Bxo
beta configuration - were numbered today.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be
predominantly low. An isolated chance for further moderate activity
exists for Region 9246, and possibly for Region 9254 (N10E10).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 06-2100Z a 07-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was predominantly quiet to unsettled, with
single periods of active levels observed at both mid and high
latitudes, during 0900-1200 and 1200-1500 UTC, respectively.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be predominantly unsettled throughout the period, with a
greater chance of active levels and isolated minor storming on day
two, under the influence of a favorably positioned coronal hole.
III. Probabilidades del evento 08 Dec a 10 Dec
| Clase M | 25% | 25% | 20% |
| Clase X | 05% | 05% | 01% |
| Protón | 05% | 05% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 07 Dec 144 Previsto 08 Dec-10 Dec 145/150/150 Media de 90 Días 07 Dec 176
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 06 Dec 006/007 Estimado Afr/Ap 07 Dec 014/015 Previsto Afr/Ap 08 Dec-10 Dec 015/015-020/025-010/015
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 08 Dec a 10 Dec
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 30% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 35% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 15% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 01% |
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