Viendo archivo del martes, 21 noviembre 2000
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2000 Nov 21 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 326 Publicado el 2200Z a las 21 Nov 2000IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 20-2100Z hasta 21-2100Z Solar activity has been moderate, due to a single
impulsive M1/Sn flare from Region 9237 (N10W61), 7-spot Cro beta, at
21/1917Z. Prior to this event, only sporadic minor C-class activity
was observed. New Region 9239 (S23E73), a single spot Hsx alpha, was
numbered today.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low
to moderate. In addition to continuing activity from Region 9237 as
it approaches the west limb, Regions 9231 (S23W36) and 9235 (N11W08)
remain possible sources for moderate events. Previously active
heliographic longitudes, thought to be the source for an impressive
full-halo CME on 16 November, are also due to return beginning on 23
November.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 20-2100Z a 21-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been mostly quiet, with isolated periods of
unsettled conditions at all latitudes for the past 24 hours.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to continue at quiet to unsettled levels for the next three
days.
III. Probabilidades del evento 22 Nov a 24 Nov
| Clase M | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Clase X | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Protón | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 21 Nov 185 Previsto 22 Nov-24 Nov 180/180/185 Media de 90 Días 21 Nov 172
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 20 Nov 007/009 Estimado Afr/Ap 21 Nov 009/012 Previsto Afr/Ap 22 Nov-24 Nov 010/012-010/010-010/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 22 Nov a 24 Nov
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 30% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
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