Viendo archivo del martes, 7 noviembre 2000
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2000 Nov 07 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 312 Publicado el 2200Z a las 07 Nov 2000IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 06-2100Z hasta 07-2100Z Solar activity became moderate. Region 9213 (N02W64)
produced an M1/1f flare with minor centimetric bursts at 07/1207Z
and a C3/Sf flare at 07/0347Z. This region is a moderately sized "H"
type spot in white light, but appears slightly more complex in
today's magnetograms. Minor C-class flaring was also observed on the
west limb near Region 9210 (S26W80) and near what appears to be a
developing region near N15W85. New regions 9224 (N28W61) and 9225
(S19W16) were numbered today.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low
to moderate through day one, but low during days two and three as
active longitudes rotate around the west limb.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 06-2100Z a 07-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at unsettled to minor storm levels at mid
latitudes with mostly active to major storm levels at high
latitudes. This disturbance is associated with the 3 Nov CME that
was first detected at the ACE spacecraft at 06/0915Z.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to active. The minor to major geomagnetic
storm, experienced over the past two days appears almost over.
III. Probabilidades del evento 08 Nov a 10 Nov
| Clase M | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Clase X | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Protón | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 07 Nov 180 Previsto 08 Nov-10 Nov 180/175/170 Media de 90 Días 07 Nov 173
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 06 Nov 028/042 Estimado Afr/Ap 07 Nov 030/035 Previsto Afr/Ap 08 Nov-10 Nov 010/020-010/010-010/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 08 Nov a 10 Nov
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 40% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 50% | 25% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
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