Viendo archivo del domingo, 5 noviembre 2000
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2000 Nov 05 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 310 Publicado el 2200Z a las 05 Nov 2000IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 04-2100Z hasta 05-2100Z Solar activity was low. Several minor C-class events
occurred with the largest one being a C5/1f event from Region 9218
(N20W14) at 05/0149Z. New regions 9222 (N17W35) and 9223 (S19E71)
were numbered today. Region 9222 has shown strong growth during the
period. An active dark filament lies between Regions 9218 and 9222.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low
to moderate. Overall, there is an increasing number of regions on
the disk capable of producing M-class activity.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 04-2100Z a 05-2100Z
The geomagnetic field ranged from quiet to active. The effects of
the earth-directed CME back on 01 November have subsided.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to increase to predominantly unsettled to active conditions
the first day of the period due to the arrival of a weak full halo
CME on 03 November. Minor storm conditions are possible in the
higher latitudes. The geomagnetic field is expected to return to
quiet to unsettled conditions for the rest of the period.
III. Probabilidades del evento 06 Nov a 08 Nov
| Clase M | 50% | 60% | 60% |
| Clase X | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Protón | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 05 Nov 186 Previsto 06 Nov-08 Nov 185/185/180 Media de 90 Días 05 Nov 173
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 04 Nov 017/023 Estimado Afr/Ap 05 Nov 012/012 Previsto Afr/Ap 06 Nov-08 Nov 015/018-010/012-008/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 06 Nov a 08 Nov
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 40% | 25% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 45% | 30% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 10% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 01% | 01% |
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